198. Penalties

One of the biggest problems football has at the moment is penalties. They are usually a completely disproportionate punishment for the offences that have taken place. Giving a bit of background on penalties helps to understand how we find ourselves in this situation. Penalties were first introduced into the game in 1891. It makes complete … Continue reading 198. Penalties

197. XG and data

Let’s talk about Expected Goals (XG) and data within sport. There has been an unbelievable amount written about XG in recent weeks and how Aston Villa and Sunderland will revert back to the mean. Aston Villa should be in 16th place apparently. Not 3rd. Pure luck that it hasn’t happened. I just want to throw … Continue reading 197. XG and data

196. Unintended consequences

As the rumours continue to swirl about the Government potentially introducing new taxation measures upon gambling companies, it is important to understand unintended consequences.  Whilst on the face of it taxing the betting companies more, may seem an easy win, there are so many unintended consequences to this. I have so little faith in those … Continue reading 196. Unintended consequences

195. Asymmetric Risk for Bookmakers

I think one thing that isn’t really talked about enough in betting is the asymmetric risk between customers and the bookmakers. This is just taken as standard in the industry and it just feels incredibly exploitative. If you exclude lottery type wins (very high margin products) it is very difficult in this industry to win … Continue reading 195. Asymmetric Risk for Bookmakers